SILVER (XAG/USD) โ Bearish Breakdown Setup
Silver has broken below the rising trendline and is currently trading below the **67.20โ67.70 support zone**, which now acts as resistance. The price structure suggests further downside pressure if sellers maintain control below this area.
๐ป **Entry:** Below 66.40
๐ฏ **Target 1:** 64.93
๐ฏ **Target 2:** 62.70โ62.50
๐ **Stop Loss:** Above 67.70
**Key Levels:**
* Resistance: **67.20โ67.70**
* Current price: **66.54**
* Target 1: **64.93**
* Target 2: **62.70โ62.50**
**Bias:** Bearish below 67.70.
*Targets are based on the levels marked on the provided chart, not a guarantee of price movement.*
In-depth trading ideas
๏ปฟSilver Market Structure & Key Resistance LevelsThis Silver (XAGUSD) 1D analysis focuses on the current market structure, key liquidity levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Market Structure Shifts (MSS), Change of Character (CHoCH), and major support and resistance zones.
The price action shows a clear structural movement from the lower demand areas toward the current trading region. The earlier bullish structure produced multiple BOS signals, while subsequent bearish pressure created several MSS and CHoCH formations. These shifts are important because they show how momentum has changed across different phases of the market.
The upper resistance area around 76.86 is a key level to monitor. A strong daily close above this region could confirm further bullish continuation and potentially expose the higher resistance levels around 83.74 and 89.38. These areas should be treated as important reaction and liquidity zones rather than guaranteed targets.
On the downside, the 66.32 and 62.79 areas represent important support regions. If price fails to maintain the current structure and breaks below these levels, the next major demand area around 56.55 becomes important for monitoring a possible reaction.
The descending trendline is acting as dynamic resistance, while the rising trendline provides dynamic support and creates a compression structure between buyers and sellers. The FVG zones on the chart are also being monitored as potential areas where price may return to rebalance inefficient price movement.
Each candle is read in relation to the surrounding structure, liquidity, momentum, and reaction zones. The objective of this analysis is to understand price behavior and market structure rather than predict every individual candle.
Always wait for confirmation through price action and structure before considering any trade setup. This chart is provided for educational and analytical purposes only, not as financial advice.
SILVER (XAG/USD): Bullish Trend Continuation๐Silver successfully completed a consolidation within a narrow horizontal range on a 4-hour timeframe.
The resistance level was violated today by a strong bullish candle.
It is anticipated that the market will continue its upward trend and soon reach the 71.50 level.
XAGUSD | SILVER โ 2H Technical Analysis...
๐ฅ XAGUSD | SILVER โ 2H Technical Analysis
Current Price: ~65.03
๐ป Market Structure
Price has rejected the 66.8โ67.4 resistance zone and made a strong bearish move. The rising trendline near 64.5 is the immediate decision area.
๐ SELL Setup
Entry / Retest Zone: 65.00โ65.60
TP1: 64.20
TP2: 62.80โ62.30 ๐ฏ
TP3: 60.90โ60.70 ๐ฅ
๐ Invalidation
A strong 2H close above 67.40 would invalidate the bearish setup and could shift focus toward 68.50โ69.00.
๐ Key Levels
๐ด Resistance: 66.80โ67.40
๐ข Immediate Support: 64.40โ64.60
๐ข Major Support / TP2: 62.30โ62.80
๐ข Lower Support / TP3: 60.70โ61.00
Overall Bias: ๐ด BEARISH
Main Target: 62.30โ62.80
Extended Target: 60.70โ61.00
Silver: Bulls Remain in Control Despite CPI RiskSilver: Bulls Remain in Control Despite CPI Risk
Silver is in a clear uptrend. The price broke out of the second bullish pattern, indicating a continued uptrend.
It is possible that silver will test the broken resistance near 67 before moving back up, as shown in the chart.
However, today will be a very risky day with very high manipulation and speculation. We have the US CPI data and the market can interpret this data in many ways, because market participants can predict the upcoming FED decision by the day.
However, this is what silver is still showing... an uptrend. If the US CPI data changes this picture, then we will check back for a different story.
Bullish Targets:
71.00
76.00
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you! ๐
โ ๏ธPS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
โค๏ธ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment โค๏ธ
XAGUSD SELL Setup โ Technical Analysis...๐ XAGUSD SELL Setup โ Technical Analysis
Price is currently around 66.33 after a sharp rejection from the Sell Liquidity / Fake Breakout Resistance area. The chart suggests a possible short-term retracement toward the broken support before continuation to the downside.
๐ฏ SELL Targets
* TP1: 64.00 ๐ฏ
* TP2: 62.50 ๐ฏ
๐ Key Resistance
* 67.50โ68.00 โ Retest / resistance area
* 70.00โ70.20 โ Fake Breakout Resistance
* 70.50โ70.70 โ Sell Liquidity zone
๐ Key Support
* 65.50โ65.70 โ Current major support
* 64.00 โ First target area
* 62.50 โ Major lower target zone
๐ Technical View
The strong rejection from the upper sell liquidity area confirms bearish pressure on the chart. If price retests the 67.50โ68.00 zone and gets rejected, the bearish continuation could target 64.00 first, followed by 62.50.
๐ Invalidation: A strong reclaim and sustained move above 68.00 would weaken the immediate bearish setup.
โ ๏ธ Risk Management: This is a chart-based market scenario, not a guaranteed outcome or financial advice. Wait for confirmation and manage risk appropriately.
XAG/USD | Geopolitical tensions at a high - Silver targetsBy examining the 4H chart of Silver we can see that after reaching 71.11 level, inside the Supply Zone and the FVG, it failed to break above this zone and started to drop, going as low as 63.31 before bouncing back up, currently being traded at around 64.10 level, below the FVG from 64.27 to 65.31.
I expect Silver to drop further below the 62.57 level to sweep the sellside liquidity pool that is there, and then drop to the Demand Zone from 60.87 to 61.75 before bouncing back up to retest the FVG.
Geopolitical tensions must be taken into account, since the US and IR exchanged attacks in the past couple of days and the tensions are at a high again, drop for Silver is out of the question.
Escalation in war can send Silver below $60 again.
Silverโs Bearish Signal Gold Traders Shouldnโt IgnoreI very often use Silver as a leading indicator for Gold.
However, this time Silver deserves a separate analysis because its technical picture is becoming increasingly bearish with each passing day.
Silver Rejected at a Major Resistance
After finding a local bottom near 55 in mid-July, Silver began a very aggressive rise at the start of August, eventually reaching the important 70 milestone last Friday.
This is not a random level. The 70 zone is a well-defined resistance, marked by the mid-June highs and several important inflection points from the past.
The Warning Signs
What makes the current price action particularly interesting is the divergence between Silver and Gold.
Gold managed to print two additional local highs on Monday and Tuesday, while Silver stalled below resistance and failed to follow.
When Silver stops confirming new highs in Gold, I consider it an important warning signal for the entire precious-metals complex.
The daily candles make the picture even more concerning. Each of the past five sessions has produced a long upper wick, showing that every attempt to push higher has encountered strong selling pressure.
In other words:
- Silver reached a major historical resistance.
- The price failed to establish itself above 70.
- It stopped confirming Goldโs new highs.
- Five consecutive daily candles showed strong rejection from higher levels.
Conclusion
In my opinion, Silver is preparing for a significant correction from the current area. Unless buyers manage to reclaim 70 decisively and hold above it, the risk remains clearly tilted to the downside.
Considering the strength of the previous rally and the repeated rejection at resistance, a drop of approximately 5,000 pips should not be considered an extreme scenario at all.
Silver may now be sending an early warning that Gold traders should not ignore.
XAGUSD 1H | SMC Structure Shift & Key Retracement Zone๐ Market Structure
Silver previously established a bullish structure with multiple BOS formations. ๐ However, price then reached the 70.30โ71.10 supply zone and experienced a strong bearish displacement.
This created a significant shift in short-term structure, followed by a CHoCH โ BOS sequence on the downside. ๐
Currently, price has recovered from the 1H FVG + OB around 63.30โ63.70 and is approaching an important overlapping area around 65.70โ66.20.
๐ข Bullish Scenario
If price holds the 65.70โ66.20 overlapping area and produces bullish confirmation, the recovery could continue toward the nearby SSL/liquidity areas around 67.00โ67.50. ๐
A stronger bullish continuation would require price to reclaim the relevant structure rather than simply touching the level.
๐ฏ Potential areas to monitor:
66.20 โ immediate resistance
67.00โ67.50 โ SSL / liquidity area
70.30โ71.10 โ higher-timeframe supply
๐ด Bearish Scenario
If price is rejected from the 65.70โ66.20 overlapping zone and bearish displacement develops, the current recovery could turn into another retracement. โ ๏ธ
The 15M/shorter-term FVG + OB around 63.80โ64.30 becomes an important downside area.
๐ป Potential downside path:
65.70 โ 64.30 โ 63.30โ63.70
The 1H FVG + OB around 63.30โ63.70 remains the major structural support visible on the chart. ๐งฑ
๐ง SMC Confluence
๐น Previous BOS โ bullish structure
๐น CHoCH โ structural transition
๐น Bearish BOS โ downside confirmation
๐น SSL โ liquidity above current price
๐น FVG + OB โ potential reaction zones
๐น Supply zone 70.30โ71.10 โ major higher-timeframe resistance
โ๏ธ Key Observation
The current area is a decision zone rather than a guaranteed direction.
๐ Bullish confirmation: acceptance above the overlapping area and continued higher-high/higher-low structure.
๐ Bearish confirmation: rejection from the overlapping area followed by a bearish market-structure shift.
Bias: Neutral until confirmation, with the 65.70โ66.20 zone acting as the immediate decision area. ๐
๐ This is a technical-analysis scenario for educational purposes only, not a guaranteed outcome or financial advice. Proper risk management remains essential.
SILVER (XAG/USD): Classic Breakout TradeEarlier this week, ๐SILVER broke and closed below a significant daily/intraday horizontal support.
The broken structure turned into a potentially significant resistance, from where I anticipate a continued bearish trend.
The formation of a double top pattern on an hourly timeframe suggests strong bearish pressure today.
I expect a downward movement to 64.87.
Silver (XAG/USD) 1H โ Bearish Breakdown & Downside Targets
The chart shows a sharp bearish reversal after silver rejected the upper rising trend channel around $70.5โ$71.0.
Current price: ~$66.37
Price has broken decisively below the recent $68.0โ$68.6 consolidation area.
The rising trend channel has been invalidated, shifting the short-term structure bearish.
Target 1: $64.91
Target 2: $62.59, which aligns with the marked major support zone.
The $62.6โ$62.9 purple area is the key downside support/demand region.
A recovery back above $68.6โ$69.0 would weaken the bearish setup; sustained trading below that zone favors continuation toward the targets.
SILVER - Picture Perfect Rejection Silver is currently sitting right between the most important support and resistance levels of its current trend, and I want to explain exactly why.
Reviewing How This Move Was Predicted
To understand this fully, it is important to look back at some of my past ideas and see how this move developed.
Back in June, I stated that once Silver hit its predicted $54 to $55 low, "the immediate upside target will be the old support zone between $71 and $74." View that idea here:
Then, once Silver was breaking its lower timeframe downtrend, I stated: "The first breakout target is the 1.618 extension of the micro trend around $68.50, followed by the 0.236 Fibonacci level of its current trend around $70.60. The main target I would be watching for is the liquidity zone sitting between $71.60 and $73.40."
Click play on that chart to see exactly how those levels played out. What is particularly interesting is that main target range of $71.60 to $73.40. Price came within $0.44 of the bottom of that range, with the local high forming at $71.16.
Then, once again, when Silver was on the verge of breaking a key moving average, I stated: "Silver has built the right structure to support a move back toward the $70 to $73 level. With the 100 and 200 MA converging around that same level, it could be an early signal that price is about to break out of its current range and begin that move to the upside."
Where This Leaves the Current Chart
This is very important to understand, because this is exactly what has happened, and it is the idea my current chart is built off of. Price is currently trading between two critical moving averages.
The first is the rejection at the 200 MA (blue), just as predicted in the last idea. At the same time, price is also testing its most critical lower timeframe support level, the 21 EMA (purple). Ever since the breakout above this EMA, it has acted as support, and price is now getting extremely close to retesting it once again.
Because of this, if price can hold the 21 EMA, it should still have the fuel needed to move back into that main target range of $71.60 to $73.40. However, as soon as the daily loses the 21 EMA, the next drop toward the lower black trendline will begin.
The Daily RSI
The final thing worth discussing right now is the daily RSI. Review this idea from when I first discussed it:
In that idea, I was pointing out to "watch for a retest" at the black trendline drawn on the RSI. That bounce played out perfectly, leading Silver on a 12.5% upside move to the recent high of $71.16.
Now, once again, trend momentum is fading and about to test that same trendline. If price can hold the 21 EMA and the daily RSI can hold that trendline, it would provide a solid setup for one more move to the upside. However, once that RSI trendline is lost, momentum can begin fading rapidly back toward oversold conditions.
SILVER 1H: Bearish Pressure Builds Below Resistance ZoneSILVER 1H: Bearish Pressure Builds Below Resistance Zone
SILVER remains under selling pressure after breaking below its previous range and consolidating under the resistance zone near 67.000. Continued downside momentum off this level could push price toward the major support zone below.
๐ Downside Map
๐ฏ Objective 1: 63.0000
โ ๏ธ Bearish Confirmation
A sustained 1H rejection below the 67.000 resistance area strengthens the downside structure, increasing the probability of a decline toward the Support zone.
๐ Invalidation
A strong recovery and 1H close back above 67.500 would weaken the bearish setup and invalidate the expected drop.
Key Levels
๐ด Resistance Zone: 66.8000 - 67.2000
๐ข Target Objective: 63.0000
โก Bias: Bearish while below 67.5000
Silver Holds Support, Higher Next ?Silver price action has reverted toward a key support region following its recent advance, making this level critical for determining whether the broader bullish market structure remains intact. After a strong move higher, a retracement into established support can be viewed as a healthy correction rather than an immediate sign of weakness, particularly if buyers step in and defend the current zone.
The key factor to monitor now is how price reacts around this support. A clear rejection of lower prices, followed by renewed buying pressure, would strengthen the bullish continuation scenario. If the support holds, silver could begin rotating back toward its recent highs, where the next major test will be the 0.69 resistance level.
A decisive reclaim of 0.69 would be an important technical development. It would signal that buyers have regained control of the previous resistance area and potentially open the door toward the 70 level and beyond. Ideally, such a breakout would be supported by increasing volume, confirming that the move is backed by genuine demand rather than a temporary liquidity sweep.
However, the bullish thesis depends heavily on the current support continuing to hold. A sustained breakdown below this region would weaken the structure and could lead to a deeper retracement before buyers attempt another recovery.
For now, silver remains constructive as long as support is respected. The reaction from this zone could determine whether the market is preparing for another push toward 0.69 and eventually 70+, or whether a larger correction needs to develop first.
Silver Update โ Pullback or Trend Reversal?Silver got rejected around the $70 area and weโre now seeing a pullback. But for now, Iโm not reading this as a trend reversal.
The bigger picture still looks constructive. Since the July low, price has been building a series of higher lows and pushing higher, with these rounded bottom formations showing up along the way.
This current move down could simply be a retracement to reload, giving price some room to build momentum for the next leg up.
The main zone Iโm watching is around $64โ$66 where the 0.618โ0.786 Fibonacci levels sit. If buyers step in around there and price holds the structure, Iโd be looking for another push toward the $70 breakout level.
And if $70 finally gets taken out and holds as support, the next big target on my radar is the $73.15โ$76 zone, with the upper trendline sitting right around that area.
So for now:
Pullback โ reversal.
$65โ66 area = key zone to watch.
$70 reclaim โ bulls back in control.
$75 area โ next major destination.
Letโs see if silver is just catching its breath before the next leg. ๐
SILVER BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 6,680.5
Target Level: 6,919.8
Stop Loss: 6,521.2
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
XAGUSD 1H โ Bearish Continuation Setup๐ Market Structure
Silver rejected the 70.8โ71.2 strong-high/supply area and then produced a sharp bearish displacement. After the sell-off, price consolidated inside a small bearish pennant around 66.0โ67.0.
The important development is that price has now broken below the 64.6โ64.7 weak-low area, giving the bearish structure additional confirmation.
๐ด Bearish Scenario
Key resistance / retest area:
66.3โ67.0
If price makes a corrective pullback into this area and shows rejection, the bearish continuation scenario remains technically valid.
Downside areas to monitor:
64.0 โ immediate structure/liquidity area
62.7โ63.0 โ marked 1H/OB demand area
60.9โ61.2 โ major demand zone
The 62.7โ63.0 OB is particularly important because it could attract a reaction after the current bearish displacement.
๐ข Bullish Invalidation / Alternative
A sustained 1H reclaim above 67.0 would weaken the bearish continuation thesis. If price moves back above the broken consolidation and holds, the market could attempt a deeper recovery toward the previous highs.
The earlier the price falls, the weaker the market trend.Silver once again experienced a surge followed by a pullback today. With silver breaking below the lower support level again, the bearish trend in silver is becoming increasingly apparent. According to our trading strategy, in a weak downtrend, the earlier the silver price falls, the weaker the market trend, and in this case, we should not blindly go long again. Instead, we should follow the trend and continue to short silver. Looking at the 1-hour chart, the key resistance level for silver is currently around 65.5, which is yesterday's low and also the starting point of the previous second upward move. The support area below is in the 63-63.5 range, which is the starting point of the previous upward move.
Therefore, I believe that if silver rebounds to the 65-65.5 resistance area or falls to the 63-63.5 support area, this would present a trading opportunity.
Silver (XAG/USD): Post-Distribution Re-Accumulation at 1H FVGโจ Silver (XAG/USD): Post-Distribution Re-Accumulation at 1H Bullish FVG ๐
๐ง Technical Breakdown & Smart Money Logic
1. Distribution Cycle Completion: Following the accumulation phase, price delivered an aggressive manipulation sweep to take out Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) at $71.00, followed by a swift distribution leg down. This sell-off has now neutralized short-term imbalance, setting up macro trend continuation. ๐
2. 1H Bullish FVG Mitigation ($64.00 Zone): The sharp drop is targeting the strong 1H Bullish Fair Value Gap ($63.80 โ $64.20). This imbalance zone was generated during the previous explosive impulse that broke structure to the upside, making it a prime institutional re-entry area. ๐ก๏ธ
3. Overall Bullish Market Structure: Higher-timeframe market structure remains firmly bullish with clear higher highs and higher lows (BOS). The current retracement into discount pricing ($64.00) aligns perfectly with macro trend alignment. ๐
๐ Trade Parameters
Bias: Long / Buy Limit ๐
Buy Entry Zone: $63.80 โ $64.20 (1H Bullish Fair Value Gap & Consequent Encroachment) ๐ฏ
Stop Loss (SL): $63.20 (Strict invalidation below the FVG demand base) ๐
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $67.50 (100 EMA & Equilibrium Level) ๐ฏ
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $70.00+ (Major Distribution Peak Liquidity Sweep) ๐
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (High R:R Setup)
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: For educational and chart analysis purposes only. Not financial advice. Always execute proper risk management and position sizing! ๐ก๏ธ
#XAGUSD #Silver #TradingView #SmartMoneyConcepts #FairValueGap #MarketStructure #PriceAction #DayTrading
SILVERโS NEXT BIG MOVE โ 70.00 & 72.00 IN SIGHT!XAGUSD is still showing a bullish structure on the 1H chart. Price has formed Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), and the recent rally produced multiple Bullish BOS, showing that buyers remain in control. The current pullback toward 67.50 is important because this area is acting as short-term support.
The chart also shows several FVG zones below the current price, which can act as potential demand areas if the pullback continues. As long as price holds the key support zones and forms a new HL, the bullish continuation setup remains valid.
๐ Key Levels
Current Price: ~67.75
Resistance
๐ด 68.20 โ Minor resistance
๐ด 69.00 โ Major resistance
๐ด 70.00 โ Strong resistance
๐ด 72.00 โ Psychological target
Support
๐ข 67.50 โ Immediate support โญ
๐ข 66.60โ67.00 โ FVG 3
๐ข 65.70โ66.00 โ FVG 2
๐ข 64.50โ64.80 โ FVG 1
๐ข 62.00 โ Major demand zone
๐ Market Structure
BOS: Multiple bullish BOS confirm upward structure.
CHOCH: Previous bearish CHOCHs were followed by strong bullish recovery.
Supertrend: Bullish while price remains above the trend-support area.
FVGs: 66.60โ67.00, 65.70โ66.00 and 64.50โ64.80 are the main pullback zones.
๐ฏ Bullish Scenario
If 67.50 holds and buyers create a new HL, XAGUSD can potentially move toward:
68.20 โ 69.00 โ 70.00 โ 72.00
The preferred approach is buying confirmed pullbacks rather than chasing the current move.
XAGUSD | 1D Market Structure & Key LevelsSilver is showing an important structural transition on the daily timeframe. After respecting a prolonged descending trendline, price has recently moved above this trendline and is now consolidating around the 64.00โ66.00 area
This region is currently acting as a key decision zone. The broader picture suggests that the recent recovery has brought price into an important area where confirmation will be necessary.
๐ต Key Retest Zone: 64.00โ65.00
๐ Major Trendline: Previously acted as dynamic resistance
๐ข Major Support Zone: 48.00โ55.00
A sustained hold above the breakout/retest area may support further bullish continuation, with higher levels becoming the next areas of interest. However, if price loses this zone and moves back below the trendline, the breakout would require reassessment and lower support levels could come back into focus
Key Focus: Watching for daily confirmation around the 64.00โ65.00 zone. The quality of the retest and subsequent price action will be important in determining whether the recent structural shift can develop further
Silver rally pauses, but bullish structure remains intactSilver has seen a big move higher over the past couple of weeks, followed by a period of consolidation above a support zone running from $67.50 down to $66.50.
The structure silver now finds itself in resembles a bull flag, with multiple touches on either side, including one on the upper boundary today that resulted in another rejection. Right now, itโs a waiting game. But given the structure and directional move into it, it points to the potential for an eventual topside breakout and extension of the prior bullish trend.
A move above the upper boundary that sticks, accompanied by a break of the August 21 high of $70 an ounce, would put the resistance zone between $71 and $72 in focus. That would be the logical initial target zone. However, given the length of the flagpole, it points to the potential for an extension of the rally back towards the swing high of $77 set in early June.
Accompanying the range-bound price action, bullish momentum has weakened recently, with RSI (14) setting a string of lower highs. However, we have now seen a break of that downtrend, warning that we may soon see a higher high established, suggesting directional risks may be starting to skew higher. MACD is yet to confirm, but it is now converging on the signal line while holding in positive territory. A bullish crossover would confirm that upside momentum is strengthening again, adding to the case for longs.
If we were to see a breakout above the upper boundary of the flag structure that sticks, longs could be established with a tight stop beneath for protection, targeting the levels mentioned above.
Of course, if the price remains range-bound within the structure, there is also the option to play it from the short side if we were to see another bullish breakout failure, targeting a move back to the lower boundary of the structure. That also coincides with the top of the $67.50 to $66.50 support zone.
Good luck!
DS
SILVER: Buy Opportunity After a Bullish BreakoutSilver has recovered sharply from the recent low and pushed back into a major price area that capped several earlier rallies. The move was not gradualโbuyers stepped in with clear momentum, which puts the short-term structure back on the bullish side.
Price is now sitting near the upper edge of the old range, so a pullback would be completely normal. Rather than chasing the move here, I am watching for price to revisit the breakout area and see whether buyers can defend it as fresh support.
If that retest holds and the market prints a convincing bullish reaction, the pullback could become a base for the next push higher. In that case, 70.00 is the upside level I am watching.
A sustained move back below the breakout zone would weaken this idea. Until then, the focus remains on whether demand can absorb any selling pressure during the retest.
This is a personal market view, not financial advice.






















